3:40 p.m. More on California, incl a couple of bites from news persons actually there, in CA: a huge turnout is expected, maybe 9 million people is the estimate. Traffic may be a factor, since a local points out that some people have to drive an hour, maybe two hours, just to get to the polls. Pretty sad, that one.

A lot of people voted early, of course, a fact generally held by commentators to favor Clinton. That leap I do not understand. The polls are downplayed when they contain anything unexpected or untoward: we are not hearing much about that 49-36 break for Obama in CA, at the moment. DOW now down 350+, heading toward the closing bell.

They all keep saying that "the polls were wrong" in New Hampshire. Possibly the polls were in fact not wrong. That one doesn't get said, though. The anomalies in the New Hampshire results have gotten short shrift in the news media.

3:50 p.m. Obama himself says that today's results may be a "split decision." Sounds like as good a prediction as any.

The GOP race in California is also getting some attention, though not as much as you might think, considering that Romney is surging there etc. But the big noises in the news media are eager to single out a front-runner--something they actually did a year ago, if you remember, and it was Giuliani. And the front-runner they have picked for the Republicans is McCain.

He is said by a supporter to be tough on immigration, without demagoguing it. Nice point--it's always constructive to talk about sitting down at the table and negotiating, re an issue like immigration. Hillary Clinton disastered herself when she flip-flopped on that one. Even Rudy Giuliani came out sounding better. Even he had the starch to point out, matter-of-factly, on national television that we cannot simply round up 11 million undocumented aliens and deport them. As Giuliani said, "It's not physically possible."

Since Obama can say this kind of thing, while Clinton has come out on record as opposing requiring undocumented aliens to have driver's licenses, he wins on this one.

Meanwhile, the highway they call "Arab Road"--where many OTMs, Other Than Mexicans, reportedly enter the U.S., is in Arizona. Nobody mentions that.