QUOTED MATERIAL
FOLLOWS:
“RELEASE:
CONTACT: Kathy Dopp kathy@electionarchive.org
435-658-4657
Pre-election polls projected that Barrack Obama would win the
Hampshire
polls predicted that 38.8 percent were going to vote for Obama, while
30 percent would vote for
predicting the final results for
39.2% for Obama and 34.9% for
Diebold/Premier machine-counted votes reversed the outcome.
The reversal of the machine and hand counts is consistent with
programming errors counting votes cast for Obama, for
votes cast for
To see this consistency of
programming error, analysts examined
of votes cast only for Obama and Clinton. Overall,
count share of such votes is 47.07% to Obama's 52.93% share and a
virtually exact reverse pattern occurs with machine counts where
A statistical analysis of New Hampshire's Democratic primary by the
National Election Data Archive rules out precinct-size and seems to
rule out demographic factors as possible causes for the reversal of
Obama and Clinton's machine and hand-counted results; and shows that
the pattern is consistent with vote miscount favoring Clinton.
The National Election Data Archive's New Hampshire analysis
and raw
data is posted on the Internet at ElectionArchive.org
http://electionarchive.org/ucvData/NH/DemPrimary2008-PairedPrecinctStudy.pdf
and
http://electionarchive.org/ucvData/NH/
About 80% of New Hampshire ballots were counted by Diebold/Premier
optical scanning machines without any post-election manual audits to
verify the machine count accuracy.
Press reports hypothesized theories for why Clinton beat Obama in New
Hampshire including:
1. the "Bradley effect" (closet racism) that white voters lie
to
pollsters and "say" they'll vote for a Black, but given a secret
ballot don't,
2. the "damsel in distress" theory that
voters out for her,
3. the "good weather" theory, and
4. the "economy was key" theory.
It would be
interesting to know why these effects would only occur
when ballots are counted by Diebold/Premier voting machines but not
when ballots are counted in public view by hand. [emphasis added]
The "electronic miscount" theory could be a more plausible
explanation
for the discrepancies between the opinion polls and the
machine-counted results.
optical scan machines such that Hillary's votes went to Obama and
Obama's votes went to Hillary?
UPCOMING RECOUNT OF THE TUESDAY, JANUARY 8, 2008 NEW HAMPSHIRE PRIMARY ELECTION
The Secretary of State (SOS) of New Hampshire announced that there
will be a statewide recount of the paper ballots beginning on
Wednesday, January 16, because presidential candidates Democrat Dennis
Kucinich and Republican Albert Howard requested it.
http://www.sos.nh.gov/recount%20press%20release.pdf
The full analysis of the National Election Data Archive is
available
at ElectionArchive.org
http://electionarchive.org/ucvData/NH/DemPrimary2008-PairedPrecinctStudy.pdf”
Stumble It!